Journals →  Gornyi Zhurnal →  2026 →  #5 →  Back

RAW MATERIAL BASE
ArticleName General statistical analysis results and their significance in gold reserve estimation: A case study of the Chukurkuduk deposit
DOI 10.17580/gzh.2026.05.07
ArticleAuthor Mukhammedov Zh. E., Abidova N. A., Rakhmonova N. B., Okhunov A. Kh., Kholiyorov A. T.
ArticleAuthorData

Institute of Mineral Resources, Tashkent, Uzbekistan

Zh. E. Mukhammedov, Head of Sector, Master of Science
N. A. Abidova, Junior Researcher, Master of Science, nigoraaa8586@gmail.com
N. B. Rakhmonova, Senior Researcher, Doctor of Geological and Mineralogical Sciences
A. Kh. Okhunov, Head of Department, Master of Science
A. T. Kholiyorov, Head of Sector, Doctor of Geological and Mineralogical Sciences

Abstract

The results of a general statistical analysis are presented as a case-study of the Chukurkuduk deposit, and their significance in estimation of gold reserves is investigated. The relevance, scientific and practical significance, and application of the statistical analysis methods in the field of geology constitute the main focus of this article. The obtained results will serve as a basis for further studies aimed at improving accuracy of gold reserve estimation at the Chukurkuduk deposit and developing recommendations for its efficient exploitation. Dynamics of gold reserves was analyzed using various statistical methods, based on data classification and development of a scientifically grounded approach aimed at increasing reserve estimation accuracy. The study employed both classical and modern statistical methods, including descriptive statistics, variance analysis, trend modeling and geostatistical methods. Using these approaches, the dynamics of data and resource distribution were analyzed, and their relationship with tectonic features was substantiated. The results obtained confirm the high accuracy of geostatistical modeling: the root mean square error based on the cross-validation results was 0.14 g/t, and the correlation coefficient between predicted and actual values was 0.92. This confirms the reliability of the applied interpolation methodology and the validity of the block model. The obtained results have significant scientific and practical importance for the further improvement of geological research and mining processes. Future studies are recommended to focus on application of this methodology to other deposits, data processing using automated algorithms, and implementation of new technological approaches.

keywords Gold deposit, statistical analysis, variance analysis, geostatistical methods, modeling, quantile analysis, percentile
References

1. Golovanov I. M. (Ed.). Ore Deposits of Uzbekistan. Tashkent : Gidroingeo, 2001. 660 p.
2. Isl amov B. F. (Ed.). Geological Map of the Republic of Uzbekistan. Scale 1:500 000. Tashkent : IMR, 2023. 225 p.
3. Classification of Proven and Probable Reserves of Solid Minerals. Tashkent : GKZ, 2022.
4. Zimalina V. Ya., Isokov M. U., Koloskova S. M. Commercial Geological Types, Exploration and Appraisal of Gold Deposits in Uzbekistan. Tashkent, 2008. 255 p.
5. Rakhmonova N., Tsoi V. Peculiarities of gold mineralisation, principles of delineation of ore deposits and calculation of reserves in the Kauldy deposit. International Journal of Geology, Earth & Environmental Sciences. 2023. Vol. 13. pp. 34–41.
6. Available at: https://base2.spinform.ru/show_doc.fwx?rgn=163156 (accessed: 29.02.2026).
7. Guide for Contents, Completion and Submission to the State Commission on Mineral Resources of Feasibility Study of Exploration Standards for Solid Minerals and Commercial-Value Groundwater. Tashkent, 2006.
8. Guidelines for Contents, Completion and Submission to the State Commission on Mineral Resources of Feasibility Study of Standards and Appraisal of Solid Mineral Reserves Using Block Modeling. Tashkent : GKZ, 2022.
9. Voropaev V. I., Kushnarev P. I. Block modeling and application of its results in the work of the State Commission on Mineral Resources. Nedropolzovanie XXI vek. 2006. No. 1. pp. 75–77.
10. Christianson R. B., Pollyea R. M., Gramacy R. B. Traditional kriging versus modern Gaussian processes for large-scale mining data. Statistical Analysis and Data Mining. 2023. Vol. 16, Iss. 5. pp. 488–506.
11. Nwaila G. T., Zhang S. E., Bourdeau J. E., Frimmel H. E., Ghorbani Y. Spatial interpolation using machine learning: From patterns and regularities to block models. Natural Resources Research. 2024. Vol. 33, No. 1. pp. 129–161.
12. Rakhmonova N. B. Characteristics of gold mineralization distribution determining the methodology and reliability of exploration and reserve estimation at the Kauldy deposit. International Journal of Geology, Earth & Environmental Sciences. 2025. Vol. 15. pp. 109–117.
13. Chilès J.-P., Delfiner P. Geostatistics: Modeling Spatial Uncertainty. 2nd ed. Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics. Hoboken : John Wiley & Sons, Inc, 2012. pp. 377–380.
14. Gandhi S. M., Sarkar B. C. Conventional and Statistical Resource/Reserve Estimation. Essentials of Mineral Exploration and Evaluation. Amsterdam : Elsevier, 2016. pp. 271–288.

Language of full-text russian
Full content Buy
Back