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ArticleName Assessment of risk zones in failure of tailings dams using geoinformation system
DOI 10.17580/em.2021.02.16
ArticleAuthor Belogurov V. P.

Division of the Sergo Ordzhonikidze Russian State Geological Prospecting University (MGRI) in Stary Oskol, Stary Oskol, Russia:

Belogurov V. P., Associate Professor, Candidate of Engineering Sciences, ORCID: 0000-0002-3425-205X,


The author describes the global patterns of geodynamics-related accidents at tailings ponds of mining and processing plants. Based on the statistical analysis of causes of such accidents, it is concluded on the necessity of the anticipatory mathematico-cartographic modeling of geodynamic processing and possible after-effects of such accidents at tailings dams at their design stage. The mathematico-cartographic modeling allows integrating computation, spatial representation and analysis, as well as ensures reliable assessment of risk zones in tailings dam failure and engineering-and-management decision-making with regard to safety. The suitability of the model is ensured by RR-criterion formulated in compliance with the fundamental Idea of Academician A. N. Kolmagorov.

keywords Tailings ponds, accidents, dam failure, high ESG-risk projects, tectonic activity, stress state, spatial analysis, geoinformation systems, geostatistical analysis, mathematicocartographic modeling, RR-criterion of model suitability

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